Major party election commitments

Detailed financial tables, by party

Table 2-4: Financial implications of election commitments, medium-term, cash basis (% of GDP)

 

2025-26

2026-27

2027-28

2028-29

2029-30

2030-31

2031-32

2032-33

2033-34

2034-35

2035-36

Receipts

Net impact of election commitments on receipts

Labor 

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition 

-0.5

-0.3

0.1

0.1

0.1

..

-0.1

-0.3

-0.5

-0.7

-1.0

Greens

3.0

4.3

4.5

4.4

4.2

4.1

4.1

3.9

3.8

3.7

3.6

Final receipts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Labor 

25.5

25.6

25.3

25.3

25.5

25.7

25.9

26.1

26.3

26.5

26.7

Coalition 

25.1

25.3

25.4

25.5

25.6

25.8

25.8

25.8

25.8

25.8

25.8

Greens

28.6

29.9

29.9

29.7

29.7

29.9

30.0

30.0

30.2

30.2

30.4

PEFO

25.5

25.6

25.3

25.3

25.5

25.7

25.9

26.1

26.3

26.5

26.8

Payments (excluding PDI)

Net impact of election commitments on payments (excluding PDI)

Labor 

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition 

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.2

..

..

-0.2

-0.3

-0.4

-0.4

Greens

-2.7

-4.3

-4.4

-4.6

-4.5

-4.5

-4.5

-4.6

-4.7

-4.8

-4.9

Final payments (excluding PDI)

Labor 

-26.0

-25.8

-25.3

-25.3

-25.4

-25.2

-25.2

-25.3

-25.3

-25.3

-25.3

Coalition 

-25.8

-25.7

-25.2

-25.2

-25.3

-25.2

-25.3

-25.5

-25.6

-25.7

-25.7

Greens

-28.8

-30.0

-29.7

-29.8

-30.0

-29.7

-29.7

-29.9

-30.0

-30.1

-30.2

PEFO

-26.0

-25.8

-25.3

-25.3

-25.5

-25.2

-25.2

-25.3

-25.3

-25.3

-25.4

Public debt interest (PDI)

Net impact of election commitments on PDI

Labor 

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition 

..

..

..

..

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

..

..

Greens

..

-0.1

-0.1

-0.2

-0.2

-0.3

-0.3

-0.4

-0.5

-0.5

-0.6

Final PDI

Labor 

-1.0

-1.0

-1.2

-1.2

-1.2

-1.4

-1.5

-1.6

-1.5

-1.5

-1.4

Coalition 

-0.9

-1.0

-1.1

-1.1

-1.1

-1.4

-1.4

-1.5

-1.4

-1.4

-1.4

Greens

-1.0

-1.1

-1.3

-1.4

-1.4

-1.7

-1.9

-2.0

-2.0

-2.0

-2.1

PEFO

-1.0

-1.0

-1.2

-1.2

-1.2

-1.4

-1.5

-1.6

-1.5

-1.5

-1.4

Underlying cash balance (UCB)

Net impact of election commitments on the UCB

Labor 

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition 

-0.2

-0.2

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.2

-0.1

-0.4

-0.7

-1.1

-1.3

Greens

0.3

..

..

-0.4

-0.5

-0.7

-0.8

-1.1

-1.3

-1.6

-1.9

Final UCB

Labor 

-1.5

-1.2

-1.2

-1.1

-1.2

-0.9

-0.8

-0.8

-0.5

-0.3

..

Coalition 

-1.7

-1.3

-0.9

-0.8

-0.8

-0.8

-0.9

-1.2

-1.3

-1.4

-1.4

Greens

-1.2

-1.2

-1.2

-1.5

-1.7

-1.6

-1.6

-1.9

-1.9

-1.9

-1.9

PEFO

-1.5

-1.2

-1.2

-1.1

-1.2

-0.9

-0.8

-0.8

-0.5

-0.3

..

Net cash flows from investments in financial assets for policy purposes

Net impact of election commitments on cash flows

Labor

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

-0.1

-0.1

-0.1

-0.1

-0.2

-0.2

Greens

-1.6

-1.6

-1.4

-1.4

-1.2

-0.7

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

-0.5

Final cash flows

Labor

-0.8

-0.8

-0.7

-0.6

-0.4

-0.3

-0.3

-0.2

-0.2

-0.2

-0.2

Coalition

-0.7

-0.6

-0.5

-0.4

-0.3

-0.3

-0.3

-0.3

-0.3

-0.4

-0.4

Greens

-2.4

-2.4

-2.0

-2.0

-1.6

-1.0

-0.7

-0.7

-0.7

-0.7

-0.7

PEFO

-0.8

-0.8

-0.6

-0.6

-0.4

-0.3

-0.2

-0.2

-0.2

-0.2

-0.2

Headline cash balance (HCB)

Net impact of election commitments on HCB

Labor

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition

-0.1

..

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.1

-0.2

-0.5

-0.9

-1.2

-1.5

Greens

-1.3

-1.6

-1.4

-1.8

-1.8

-1.3

-1.3

-1.6

-1.8

-2.1

-2.4

Final HCB 

Labor

-2.3

-1.9

-1.8

-1.7

-1.6

-1.2

-1.1

-1.0

-0.7

-0.5

-0.2

Coalition

-2.3

-2.0

-1.4

-1.3

-1.1

-1.1

-1.3

-1.5

-1.6

-1.7

-1.8

Greens

-3.6

-3.6

-3.2

-3.5

-3.3

-2.5

-2.3

-2.6

-2.6

-2.6

-2.6

PEFO

-2.3

-1.9

-1.8

-1.7

-1.5

-1.2

-1.1

-1

-0.7

-0.5

-0.2

Source: 2025 PEFO and PBO analysis.
Note: A positive impact indicates an improvement in the cash balance. A negative impact indicates a deterioration in the cash balance. Figures may not sum to totals due to rounding.
..       Not zero but rounded to zero.
 

Table 2-5: Financial implications of election commitments, medium-term, accrual basis (% of GDP)

 

2025-26

2026-27

2027-28

2028-29

2029-30

2030-31

2031-32

2032-33

2033-34

2034-35

2035-36

Revenue

Net impact of election commitments on revenue

Labor 

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition 

-0.4

-0.2

0.1

0.1

0.1

-0.1

-0.3

-0.5

-0.7

-0.9

-1.1

Greens

3.7

4.4

4.6

4.3

4.2

4.2

4.0

3.9

3.8

3.7

3.6

Final revenue

Labor 

26.1

26.2

25.9

26.0

26.1

26.3

26.5

26.7

27.0

27.2

27.4

Coalition 

25.6

25.9

26.0

26.1

26.3

26.3

26.3

26.3

26.3

26.3

26.3

Greens

29.8

30.6

30.5

30.3

30.3

30.5

30.6

30.7

30.8

30.9

31.0

PEFO

26.1

26.2

25.9

26.0

26.1

26.3

26.5

26.8

27.0

27.2

27.4

Expenses (excluding PDI)

Net impact of election commitments on expenses (excluding PDI)

Labor 

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition 

0.3

..

0.1

0.1

0.2

0.1

..

-0.1

-0.2

-0.4

-0.3

Greens

-4.1

-4.2

-4.3

-4.5

-4.5

-4.5

-4.4

-4.6

-4.6

-4.7

-4.8

Final expenses

Labor 

-26.3

-25.9

-25.7

-25.6

-25.8

-25.5

-25.5

-25.6

-25.6

-25.5

-25.6

Coalition 

-26.0

-25.9

-25.6

-25.5

-25.6

-25.5

-25.5

-25.7

-25.9

-26.0

-26.0

Greens

-30.4

-30.1

-30.1

-30.1

-30.3

-30.0

-30.0

-30.2

-30.2

-30.3

-30.4

PEFO

-26.2

-25.9

-25.7

-25.6

-25.8

-25.5

-25.5

-25.6

-25.6

-25.6

-25.6

Public debt interest (PDI)

Net impact of election commitments on PDI

Labor 

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition 

..

..

..

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

..

..

Greens

..

-0.1

-0.2

-0.2

-0.2

-0.3

-0.4

-0.4

-0.5

-0.6

-0.6

Final PDI

Labor 

-1.3

-1.3

-1.4

-1.5

-1.5

-1.8

-1.9

-2.0

-1.9

-1.8

-1.8

Coalition 

-1.3

-1.3

-1.4

-1.4

-1.5

-1.7

-1.8

-1.9

-1.8

-1.8

-1.8

Greens

-1.4

-1.4

-1.6

-1.7

-1.8

-2.1

-2.2

-2.4

-2.3

-2.4

-2.4

PEFO

-1.3

-1.3

-1.4

-1.5

-1.5

-1.8

-1.9

-2.0

-1.9

-1.8

-1.8

Fiscal balance

Net impact of election commitments on the fiscal balance

Labor 

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

Coalition 

-0.1

-0.2

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.1

-0.2

-0.5

-0.9

-1.2

-1.5

Greens

-0.4

0.1

0.1

-0.4

-0.5

-0.6

-0.8

-1.1

-1.3

-1.6

-1.9

Final fiscal balance

Labor 

-1.5

-1.1

-1.3

-1.1

-1.2

-1.0

-0.9

-0.8

-0.5

-0.2

0.1

Coalition 

-1.7

-1.2

-1.0

-0.8

-0.8

-0.9

-1.1

-1.3

-1.4

-1.5

-1.4

Greens

-1.9

-1.0

-1.2

-1.5

-1.7

-1.6

-1.6

-1.9

-1.8

-1.8

-1.8

PEFO

-1.5

-1.1

-1.3

-1.1

-1.2

-1

-0.9

-0.8

-0.5

-0.2

..

Source: 2025 PEFO and PBO analysis.
Note: A positive impact indicates an improvement in the fiscal balance. A negative impact indicates a deterioration in the fiscal balance. Figures may not sum to totals due to rounding.
..       Not zero but rounded to zero.
 

Table 2-6: Financial implications of election commitments on gross and net debt by party, medium-term (% of GDP)

 

2025-26

2026-27

2027-28

2028-29

2029-30

2030-31

2031-32

2032-33

2033-34

2034-35

2035-36

Gross debt

Net impact of election commitments on gross debt

Labor 

..

..

..

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.1

..

..

Coalition 

-0.5

-0.3

-0.7

-1.1

-1.5

-1.5

-1.2

-0.6

0.3

1.6

3.1

Greens

1.3

3.0

4.2

5.8

7.3

8.2

9.1

10.3

11.6

13.2

14.9

Final gross debt

Labor 

35.5

36.5

36.9

36.9

37.0

36.8

36.3

35.5

34.5

33.2

31.9

Coalition 

35.0

36.2

36.2

35.8

35.5

35.2

35.0

34.7

34.7

34.8

35.1

Greens

36.8

39.5

41.1

42.6

44.2

45.0

45.4

45.7

46.1

46.4

46.9

PEFO

35.5

36.5

36.9

36.8

37.0

36.7

36.3

35.4

34.4

33.2

31.9

Net debt

Net impact of election commitments on net debt

Labor 

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

..

-0.1

Coalition 

-0.3

-0.1

-0.4

-0.7

-1.1

-1.1

-0.9

-0.3

0.6

1.9

3.5

Greens

2.1

3.6

4.8

6.3

7.8

8.7

9.6

10.9

12.3

13.9

15.7

Final net debt

Labor 

21.6

22.6

22.7

23.2

23.8

23.7

23.5

22.9

22.2

21.3

20.1

Coalition 

21.3

22.5

22.2

22.4

22.7

22.6

22.6

22.6

22.9

23.2

23.6

Greens

23.6

26.2

27.4

29.5

31.6

32.4

33.1

33.8

34.5

35.2

35.9

PEFO

21.6

22.6

22.7

23.1

23.8

23.7

23.5

22.9

22.2

21.3

20.2

Source: 2025 PEFO and PBO analysis.
Note: A positive impact indicates an increase in debt levels. A negative impact indicates a reduction in debt levels. Figures may not sum to totals due to rounding.
..       Not zero but rounded to zero.